Sunday, May 13, 2007

Sleepy Trader, A look at the Fundamentals

The Friday May 11, 2007 economic calender was jammed packed and i slept in! I missed the actual announcement of all the indicators but still caught some of the moves. Gotta love forex right? Always giving you a second chance to get in a good trade. Around 9:30(NYT) i hopped out of bed and fired up the charts and calender to see what was going down in the markets. This is what i saw:
12:30United StatesProducer Price Index (MoM) (Apr) !!!0.7%0.6%1.0%


12:30United StatesProducer Price Index (YoY) (Apr) !!!3.2%3.1%3.2%


12:30United StatesProducer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) (Apr) !!!0%0.2%0%


12:30United StatesProducer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) (Apr) !!!1.5%1.8%1.7%


12:30United StatesRetail Sales (MoM) (Apr) !!!-0.2%0.4%1.0%
(The first number is the actual, middle one is the forecast and the last is the previous)

The first thing i look at when checking the calenders is which announcement is farthest away from what analysts are forecasting. Retail sales caught my eyes, -0.2% vs 0.4%. So my bias for the day was down for the us dollar.

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